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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.09+0.76vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.70-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Boston University1.250.6%1st Place
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2.76Amherst College-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.28Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Connecticut-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 61.9% | 24.8% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nat Edmonds | 14.9% | 29.0% | 27.8% | 22.0% | 6.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 9.5% | 17.1% | 25.4% | 32.2% | 15.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.0% | 22.6% | 26.8% | 26.4% | 13.2% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 2.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.