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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-1.70+2.37vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.95vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.09-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Boston University1.250.6%1st Place
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4.37University of Connecticut-1.700.0%1st Place
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3.29Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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2.74Amherst College-0.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 61.7% | 25.3% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 64.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 8.9% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 31.1% | 17.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.9% | 23.8% | 25.9% | 27.8% | 11.6% |
| Nat Edmonds | 15.7% | 28.0% | 29.0% | 21.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.