← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.25+0.61vs Predicted
-
2Williams College-0.60+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College-0.09-0.11vs Predicted
-
4Wesleyan University-1.73+0.85vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-1.70-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61Boston University1.250.6%1st Place
-
3.45Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
-
2.89Amherst College-0.090.1%1st Place
-
4.85Wesleyan University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of Connecticut-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 60.2% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 9.4% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 7.3% |
| Nat Edmonds | 14.8% | 27.7% | 25.1% | 20.6% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Broadus | 2.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 28.3% | 41.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.8% | 18.4% | 24.2% | 23.8% | 14.9% | 7.9% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 28.5% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.