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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.72+0.36vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55+1.34vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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4Williams College-2.12-0.10vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-1.61-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Boston University0.720.7%1st Place
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3.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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3.01Wesleyan University-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.9Williams College-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.39Amherst College-1.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wiegand | 72.7% | 20.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Angelina Papa | 6.6% | 19.7% | 26.7% | 26.7% | 20.3% |
| Rory McClenahan | 10.1% | 27.8% | 26.7% | 22.1% | 13.3% |
| Charles Maier | 3.3% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 22.0% | 43.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 7.3% | 19.7% | 22.5% | 27.8% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.