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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+3.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+1.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+0.93vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.20+1.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.18-2.61vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Northeastern University1.3913.5%1st Place
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3.34Boston College1.9518.1%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University1.5112.5%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont1.057.6%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University-0.202.8%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.113.0%1st Place
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4.39Roger Williams University1.1811.2%1st Place
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2.6Brown University2.3731.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 13.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.1% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
Clark Morris | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 21.5% | 46.2% |
Charlie Lawrence | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 31.1% |
Jack Crager | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
Blake Behrens | 31.3% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.