Race 15B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.5% 18.0% 16.1% 12.7% 10.1% 8.8% 5.3% 4.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Kimberly Kaull 8.6% 10.5% 9.4% 9.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 8.4% 4.5% 1.3%
Chloe Lepert 9.7% 6.8% 9.5% 9.3% 9.1% 8.9% 10.4% 10.7% 11.0% 8.0% 5.1% 1.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.8% 7.8% 8.3% 10.7% 10.0% 8.4% 9.4% 10.3% 10.6% 8.1% 7.1% 2.5%
Rachel Perry 3.3% 5.3% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 9.3% 13.4% 18.9% 10.7%
Sky Adams 9.7% 8.1% 7.9% 8.3% 10.3% 10.5% 10.1% 9.5% 9.9% 8.7% 5.1% 1.9%
Carolyn Naughton 10.1% 11.1% 10.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 9.5% 8.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2% 1.6%
Kate Levinson 6.1% 5.9% 5.2% 7.1% 5.6% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 13.4% 14.7% 6.8%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.8% 13.4% 13.8% 10.8% 13.3% 8.7% 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2%
Caitlin Watson 7.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 10.0% 9.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.8% 9.8% 4.0%
Devon Rohde 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.0% 9.7% 10.8% 12.6% 13.9% 6.2%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 6.1% 13.6% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.