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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+2.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+0.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05-0.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+0.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.93vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.18-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Brown University2.3733.2%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.5113.2%1st Place
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3.34Boston College1.9519.0%1st Place
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4.11Northeastern University1.3911.3%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont1.057.5%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.113.5%1st Place
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4.4Roger Williams University1.189.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 33.2% | 24.1% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 19.0% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Everett Nash | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 46.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 25.7% | 30.6% |
| Jack Crager | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.