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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+5.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+4.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.30vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76+3.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.93-3.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-3.25vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-5.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.7Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.53University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.1Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 9.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 19.5% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 60.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.