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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.44vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.58+1.85vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.70-0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.76+0.17vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.21-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.09-1.37vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.19-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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3.85Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.15Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.81Miami University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.94Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 31.1% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 10.5% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 5.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 37.6% | 30.1% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 6.7% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 24.1% | 17.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 23.5% | 14.1% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.