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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.76+2.09vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.70-0.86vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.21+0.83vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.58-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.09-1.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.19-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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4.09University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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2.14Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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4.83Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.95Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.93Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 30.9% | 30.1% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carlos Sole | 9.2% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 7.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 37.9% | 30.6% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Drobny | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 25.8% | 16.8% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| John McCalmont | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 13.2% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.