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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.76+2.11vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.58+0.88vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.70-1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.09-0.34vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.21-1.20vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.19-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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4.11University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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3.88Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.21Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.8Miami University-1.210.1%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 32.4% | 27.6% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Carlos Sole | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 10.1% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 36.2% | 29.6% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 24.0% | 14.1% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 25.5% | 16.7% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.