← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.70+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.40vs Predicted
-
3University of Chicago-0.76+1.15vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-1.21+0.85vs Predicted
-
5Miami University-0.58-1.10vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-2.19+0.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-1.09-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
-
2.4University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
-
4.15University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.85Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
3.9Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
6.03Northwestern University-2.190.0%1st Place
-
4.5University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 40.0% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 30.2% | 29.2% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.7% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
| Jenna Drobny | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 26.2% | 16.9% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 8.5% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 56.6% |
| John McCalmont | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.