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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.70+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.76+2.50vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.57+1.21vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.58+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.31vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.21-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.09-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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4.5University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.21Northwestern University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.25Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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5.14Miami University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 36.5% | 25.9% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 16.0% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 11.6% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Greg Bittle | 25.9% | 27.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 32.6% |
| John McCalmont | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.