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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.70+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.76+0.55vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.57-0.75vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.21-0.85vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.58-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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2.6University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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5.02University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.25Northwestern University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.15Miami University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.08Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 36.5% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Greg Bittle | 26.4% | 29.5% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| John McCalmont | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.0% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 31.8% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.