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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.58+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.64vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.70-0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.76+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.09+0.04vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.57-1.78vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.21-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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2.31Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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4.56University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.09Miami University-1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 26.6% | 26.0% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Marina Hutzler | 35.7% | 27.8% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| John McCalmont | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 27.9% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.4% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.