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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.57+2.80vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.70+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.61vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.58-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.76-0.84vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.21-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Northwestern University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.16Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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2.39University of Saint Thomas0.470.3%1st Place
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3.83Miami University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.66Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aviva Kaplan | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 38.6% | 28.9% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 30.4% | 28.7% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 23.8% | 15.3% |
| Carlos Sole | 7.7% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Jenna Drobny | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.