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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.34+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.18+1.22vs Predicted
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3Miami University-3.63+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.30-0.57vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.62-2.41vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.47-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-3.00-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Miami University-0.340.4%1st Place
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3.22University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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6.14Miami University-3.630.0%1st Place
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3.43University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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2.59Northwestern University-0.620.3%1st Place
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4.94Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 38.8% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Holden Higgins | 14.7% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 21.8% | 58.1% |
| River Servia | 13.1% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 26.5% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 25.4% | 27.0% | 23.5% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 28.1% | 12.7% |
| Brady Boland | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 20.7% | 32.9% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.