Race 17B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kimberly Kaull 9.2% 8.9% 10.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 8.0% 4.1% 1.5%
Chloe Lepert 7.7% 8.4% 10.3% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 9.1% 10.5% 7.6% 10.1% 6.2% 0.9%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.2% 7.1% 8.1% 10.1% 7.2% 10.9% 9.3% 9.3% 10.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.1%
Caitlin Watson 5.5% 6.1% 7.7% 9.1% 7.5% 10.4% 10.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 12.0% 4.4%
Marlena Fauer 22.2% 20.0% 14.8% 10.5% 9.6% 8.4% 5.8% 3.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.9% 13.4% 11.6% 10.8% 11.3% 9.0% 10.5% 8.1% 6.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.9%
Sky Adams 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.4% 9.9% 9.7% 7.1% 5.9% 1.8%
Carolyn Naughton 11.5% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 9.7% 9.9% 8.8% 8.4% 8.6% 6.2% 4.8% 1.5%
Rachel Perry 3.2% 3.9% 5.6% 5.4% 7.2% 6.9% 8.3% 9.5% 10.2% 13.4% 18.2% 8.2%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 5.1% 7.1% 11.0% 62.5%
Kate Levinson 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 6.9% 7.1% 8.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.9% 14.6% 8.9%
Devon Rohde 6.1% 5.6% 4.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.9% 14.4% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.