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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.34+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.30+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.18+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-3.00+1.25vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.27-2.84vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.63-0.17vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-4.13-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Miami University-0.340.3%1st Place
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3.27University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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2.16Northwestern University-0.270.4%1st Place
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5.83Miami University-3.630.0%1st Place
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6.2Northwestern University-4.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 34.9% | 30.2% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 12.4% | 15.6% | 24.9% | 30.5% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Holden Higgins | 13.3% | 19.5% | 25.9% | 27.6% | 11.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Brady Boland | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 34.3% | 32.6% | 13.3% |
| George Warfel | 36.6% | 29.5% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 22.2% | 36.1% | 32.0% |
| Jordan Raizer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 12.5% | 26.0% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.