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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+1.05vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.34+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.30+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.68-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-3.00+0.14vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-4.13+0.25vs Predicted
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7Miami University-3.63-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Northwestern University-0.270.4%1st Place
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2.08Miami University-0.340.4%1st Place
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3.17University of Michigan-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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6.25Northwestern University-4.130.0%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 39.2% | 30.4% | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed Porter | 35.8% | 33.8% | 20.0% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 12.3% | 17.2% | 30.0% | 26.3% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Manley | 9.2% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 32.7% | 19.6% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Brady Boland | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 34.8% | 27.8% | 13.9% |
| Jordan Raizer | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 11.5% | 24.5% | 56.8% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 37.6% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.