← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Chicago-1.68+2.01vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.27-0.20vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-0.34-1.20vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-3.63+0.82vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas-3.00-0.70vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-4.13-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
-
1.8Northwestern University-0.270.4%1st Place
-
1.8Miami University-0.340.4%1st Place
-
4.82Miami University-3.630.0%1st Place
-
4.3University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
-
5.27Northwestern University-4.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 10.0% | 16.3% | 44.9% | 22.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| George Warfel | 43.9% | 36.0% | 16.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Porter | 42.0% | 39.0% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 1.1% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 20.7% | 37.7% | 30.2% |
| Brady Boland | 2.2% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 37.4% | 29.1% | 14.6% |
| Jordan Raizer | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 13.5% | 27.6% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.