← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Delaware-1.57+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute-0.87+1.01vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.13-1.03vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.90vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-2.05-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
-
3.01Webb Institute-0.870.1%1st Place
-
1.97Drexel University0.130.4%1st Place
-
2.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.4%1st Place
-
4.19Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Deutsch | 7.3% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 34.4% | 31.2% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 12.8% | 19.6% | 31.5% | 25.6% | 10.5% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 41.5% | 30.3% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Robert Finora | 35.2% | 33.2% | 20.5% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 23.0% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.