Race 18B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carolyn Naughton 9.5% 9.6% 9.4% 10.6% 10.7% 11.8% 9.6% 8.1% 8.6% 6.7% 4.3% 1.1%
Sky Adams 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.2% 6.3% 2.2%
Kimberly Kaull 10.1% 9.0% 10.0% 8.8% 10.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5%
Caitlin Watson 5.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.3% 9.8% 9.0% 9.3% 11.0% 8.6% 10.6% 10.2% 4.3%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.2% 14.3% 12.2% 10.6% 10.0% 9.9% 9.7% 7.5% 5.2% 5.1% 3.5% 0.8%
Marlena Fauer 22.6% 17.5% 17.2% 11.2% 10.1% 8.3% 4.8% 3.8% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Chloe Lepert 8.4% 9.3% 10.5% 10.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.8% 2.1%
Rachel Perry 5.2% 6.0% 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.9% 10.0% 13.3% 16.7% 11.3%
Paige Fagan 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 5.2% 8.6% 11.9% 61.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 8.5% 10.3% 9.4% 10.2% 8.2% 6.4% 2.6%
Devon Rohde 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.9% 10.3% 11.5% 12.0% 14.3% 5.7%
Kate Levinson 5.4% 4.8% 4.1% 8.2% 6.0% 7.6% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 11.2% 16.5% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.