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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+3.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.18+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+1.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95-0.67vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.20+1.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37-3.47vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39-2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Tufts University1.5112.2%1st Place
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4.4Roger Williams University1.1810.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont1.058.0%1st Place
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3.33Boston College1.9518.6%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University-0.202.6%1st Place
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2.53Brown University2.3732.2%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University1.3912.3%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.114.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clark Morris | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
Jack Crager | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.6% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 47.8% |
Blake Behrens | 32.2% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Everett Nash | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
Charlie Lawrence | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 26.8% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.