← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute-0.95+1.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-1.57+1.56vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.13-1.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-1.15vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-2.05-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86Webb Institute-0.950.2%1st Place
-
3.56University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
-
1.74Drexel University0.130.5%1st Place
-
2.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.2%1st Place
-
4.0Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konrad Freischlag | 17.6% | 23.9% | 26.4% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 7.7% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 30.8% | 27.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 53.7% | 25.8% | 14.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Aubrey Walton | 16.5% | 26.2% | 23.9% | 22.6% | 10.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.