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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+3.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+0.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+0.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.39-0.88vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.05-2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Tufts University1.5112.9%1st Place
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2.67Brown University2.3727.8%1st Place
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3.27Boston College1.9521.1%1st Place
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4.46Roger Williams University1.1810.7%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University1.3911.9%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University-0.203.5%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont1.058.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.114.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clark Morris | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
Blake Behrens | 27.8% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 21.1% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Jack Crager | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
Everett Nash | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 22.1% | 44.9% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 9.0% |
Charlie Lawrence | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.