Race 19B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kimberly Kaull 9.3% 8.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.3% 10.6% 9.0% 9.1% 9.9% 6.6% 6.1% 1.4%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.8% 14.6% 12.6% 10.9% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.1% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 0.4%
Marlena Fauer 22.4% 17.5% 15.2% 11.6% 11.1% 8.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Sky Adams 7.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.1% 9.6% 10.5% 9.8% 8.3% 7.0% 7.6% 1.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 8.3% 10.5% 9.1% 7.8% 10.2% 10.0% 8.4% 8.1% 2.1%
Carolyn Naughton 10.2% 10.4% 8.6% 11.0% 10.1% 9.5% 11.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.4% 4.4% 1.1%
Rachel Perry 4.8% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 11.4% 13.4% 17.7% 9.1%
Kate Levinson 6.1% 5.7% 5.1% 7.2% 6.7% 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 11.1% 11.2% 13.9% 7.2%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 5.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.9% 10.5% 9.6% 10.6% 9.1% 3.6%
Laura Dunphy 8.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.8% 6.3% 2.6%
Paige Fagan 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 4.4% 5.8% 11.1% 65.3%
Devon Rohde 5.9% 5.0% 5.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 10.6% 11.1% 13.8% 11.8% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.