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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.98vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.04-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.62-6.00vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.13-4.88vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-2.87vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.46-6.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.97-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.9University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.12Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.13Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.67University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 31.7% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Emily Smith | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 20.8% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Emily Avey | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.