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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+5.81vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48+3.06vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.97vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-1.07vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.21+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.01-3.50vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.04-5.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.93University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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9.12Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 32.8% | 25.3% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 16.8% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Kieran Lyons | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 17.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.