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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+3.42vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.13+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.14-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.01-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.04-2.51vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.38vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.21-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.56Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.62University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.79Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 31.8% | 24.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Dylan Murphy | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% |
| Emily Avey | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.5% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.5% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.