← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.32+1.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.09+4.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-0.41+4.43vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.69vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-0.14+0.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-1.01+2.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.62-3.83vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-1.21+0.83vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.13-3.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.48-3.30vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-0.46-4.32vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.68-4.68vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.97-4.91vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington-1.04-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.87University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
-
6.2University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.65University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
-
9.43University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
-
9.83Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.62Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.7University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.32Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
9.09University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.31University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 32.2% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 20.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Emily Avey | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.