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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.41+3.94vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.04+1.56vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.21+1.10vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.13-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.01-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.73vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.68-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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9.1Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.1Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.81Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 32.6% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Emily Avey | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Emily Smith | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.