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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+3.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.48+2.87vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46+1.77vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.21+2.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-1.44vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.68-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.73-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.09-5.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.01-4.66vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.38University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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9.74Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.56Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.47Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 31.7% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Murphy | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Emily Avey | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 19.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Oliver Sommer | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% |
| Emily Smith | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.