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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+6.39vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+1.39vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.13+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.73+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97+0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.14-4.29vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-1.99vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-4.72vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.01-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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2.81University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.64Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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10.01Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.28Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 31.7% | 23.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 13.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Emily Avey | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Emily Smith | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Sommer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 18.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.