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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48+3.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.13+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.01-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-3.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.11vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.21-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.04-5.17vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.68-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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7.06University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.58University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.98Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 32.8% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.4% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% |
| Emily Avey | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 17.1% |
| Kieran Lyons | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.