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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+2.96vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.13+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.01+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-3.92vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.04-4.56vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.68-6.21vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.62-10.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.9University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.07Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.37University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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9.1Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 32.9% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Emily Smith | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 17.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 20.6% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.