Race 20B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 21.7% 17.9% 16.1% 11.9% 10.6% 7.1% 6.4% 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Sky Adams 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.4% 9.7% 9.1% 10.1% 9.6% 8.4% 10.0% 5.3% 1.5%
Kate Levinson 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 11.1% 13.7% 13.8% 7.1%
Carolyn Naughton 8.4% 10.2% 11.6% 10.1% 10.4% 10.3% 9.8% 8.7% 8.3% 6.0% 4.8% 1.4%
Rachel Perry 3.5% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.8% 8.8% 9.1% 13.1% 18.7% 10.9%
Laura Dunphy 9.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 10.5% 9.2% 11.0% 10.6% 9.3% 6.8% 2.3%
Kelsey Wheeler 13.3% 12.3% 12.6% 11.1% 11.0% 10.2% 8.4% 6.9% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Caitlin Watson 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 8.4% 6.4% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.8% 10.3% 4.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.0% 7.7% 10.4% 10.0% 10.7% 8.9% 11.1% 8.6% 9.7% 7.2% 6.6% 2.1%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 1.3% 3.5% 4.0% 7.1% 12.4% 61.5%
Devon Rohde 5.3% 5.8% 5.5% 5.9% 7.3% 7.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 13.2% 6.9%
Kimberly Kaull 9.4% 10.1% 8.8% 10.4% 11.2% 9.9% 9.1% 9.4% 9.3% 6.0% 5.3% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.