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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+2.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+0.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39+0.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.18-0.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-1.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.20-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Brown University2.3730.3%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont1.057.6%1st Place
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3.29Boston College1.9519.4%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University1.3913.0%1st Place
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4.42Roger Williams University1.1810.4%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University1.5113.2%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.113.5%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Behrens | 30.3% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 9.0% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 19.4% | 20.4% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
Everett Nash | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
Jack Crager | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
Clark Morris | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
Charlie Lawrence | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 20.9% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.