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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.38+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.720.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+0.91vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.26+3.63vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38+2.86vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.08-2.37vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.99-0.27vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.36+1.40vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.78-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.94-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-2.24-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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9.63Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.63Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.73Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 18.9% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 31.2% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Bella Valente | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 27.2% |
| Dylan Zink | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.