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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.99+4.80vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.08+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.00-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.78+0.15vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.31+2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.38-6.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.24-0.75vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.38-4.09vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.26-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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8.8Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.79Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.31University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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12.6University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.48Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 15.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.2% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Bella Valente | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 27.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 31.2% |
| Dylan Zink | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 26.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.