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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+0.95vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.99+2.85vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.78+0.15vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.26+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.94-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-1.08vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-2.98vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.24-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.31-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.59Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.56Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.02Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 19.1% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Zink | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 27.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 29.6% |
| Bella Valente | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.