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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.00+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.38-0.12vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01+2.85vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-1.45vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.99+0.83vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.26+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.78-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.43-6.21vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.24+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.36-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.38-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.55Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.83Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.55Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.53University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 26.5% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 30.3% |
| Bella Valente | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 27.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.