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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.99+5.69vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.08+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.31+5.17vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.38-3.18vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.78-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.00-5.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.36+0.59vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.24-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.38-4.08vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.26-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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8.69Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.63Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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12.17University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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8.81Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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12.59University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.47Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 32.3% |
| Dylan Zink | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 27.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.