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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.72+1.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+2.58vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26+5.56vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.99+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.38-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.66-2.95vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.94-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.78-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.36+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.31+0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.24-0.77vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.38-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.00-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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9.56Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.86Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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8.89Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Oregon-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.47University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 29.7% |
| Bella Valente | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 22.0% | 29.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 25.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.