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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.04+5.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+4.13vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.68vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+0.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.83+1.94vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.57+3.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.03vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+1.69vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.48+2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-0.28vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.84-3.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.42-3.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-6.42vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Tulane University2.049.2%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.2210.6%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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4.9College of Charleston2.3814.9%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University1.838.6%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University1.573.9%1st Place
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8.03Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
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11.9Maine Maritime Academy0.481.9%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University1.847.5%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University1.425.5%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.7%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Maritime College0.722.6%1st Place
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9.36Boston University0.975.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mason Stang | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 25.4% |
| Olin Guck | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.