Race 21B

toni-deutsch-58

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kimberly Kaull 9.2% 8.7% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 10.2% 9.4% 10.3% 8.2% 6.9% 5.3% 1.3%
Carolyn Naughton 9.6% 10.8% 10.0% 10.7% 11.2% 9.0% 10.6% 8.3% 7.6% 6.4% 4.9% 0.9%
Sky Adams 9.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.4% 10.1% 8.1% 5.3% 1.7%
Marlena Fauer 20.5% 19.5% 16.3% 12.7% 10.0% 6.8% 5.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 12.3% 13.1% 11.9% 10.1% 11.0% 10.4% 8.7% 7.4% 5.0% 5.5% 2.9% 1.7%
Rachel Perry 4.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 4.9% 5.9% 6.4% 9.5% 10.6% 12.5% 19.0% 11.3%
Paige Fagan 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 6.9% 12.0% 60.4%
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 9.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.9% 7.9% 7.7% 2.7%
Devon Rohde 4.3% 5.8% 6.9% 8.4% 7.0% 9.0% 10.8% 9.3% 11.3% 11.1% 10.7% 5.4%
Laura Dunphy 8.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.4% 10.9% 9.7% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 6.7% 3.0%
Caitlin Watson 5.6% 7.1% 7.0% 6.4% 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 10.1% 9.9% 12.5% 10.7% 4.2%
Kate Levinson 5.7% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.7% 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 11.5% 12.1% 14.4% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.