← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+2.83vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.80vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.62vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.76vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.57vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-1.52+2.92vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-1.53+1.92vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-2.29+3.07vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.21vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.46vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-3.53vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-1.48vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-2.53vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-2.91-1.25vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-2.79-2.37vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-2.98-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
-
3.8University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
-
3.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
4.76University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
-
11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.52University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
-
12.75University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
-
12.63University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 17.7% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 18.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 20.1% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Brayden Money | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Mason Read | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 20.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.