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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+2.83vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.01-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.79+6.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53+0.76vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.29-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.91-1.22vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-7.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.98-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
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3.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 18.1% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 21.2% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 20.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Brayden Money | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Mason Read | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 22.9% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.