← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.20vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.80vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.17vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.75vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-1.59vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.68vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.14vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-2.91+1.09vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.71vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-2.79-1.07vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-2.98-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
3.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
3.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
-
3.32University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
-
5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
-
9.09University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.93University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 20.8% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 14.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Ring | 20.4% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 20.4% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 29.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 26.3% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 24.0% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.