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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.07vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+4.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+4.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.94vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.83-2.10vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.48+0.88vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.39vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.42-4.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-5.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07College of Charleston2.3815.1%1st Place
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6.46Tulane University2.0410.2%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.7%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.2210.3%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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8.02Yale University1.596.0%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University1.574.7%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University1.839.3%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College0.722.1%1st Place
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11.88Maine Maritime Academy0.481.9%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University1.425.7%1st Place
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9.54Boston University0.973.9%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.053.7%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University0.464.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Mason Stang | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 25.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.