Race 22B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kelsey Wheeler 12.4% 10.4% 12.3% 10.9% 11.4% 10.6% 9.2% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.3%
Marlena Fauer 20.8% 20.4% 14.4% 12.4% 9.6% 7.6% 6.4% 3.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.9% 7.1% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 9.7% 10.0% 11.0% 11.2% 8.3% 7.0% 1.7%
Sky Adams 7.4% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 10.3% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 2.4%
Devon Rohde 5.5% 5.7% 6.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.4% 9.7% 8.3% 10.4% 12.1% 13.4% 5.7%
Kimberly Kaull 10.1% 9.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 10.4% 9.5% 10.8% 7.3% 8.1% 4.2% 1.4%
Rachel Perry 4.3% 5.2% 4.7% 6.8% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 14.9% 17.3% 9.0%
Carolyn Naughton 11.3% 10.8% 10.9% 9.9% 10.0% 8.4% 10.4% 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7%
Laura Dunphy 7.4% 7.9% 9.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.5% 9.9% 9.0% 9.8% 7.7% 6.8% 1.5%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 8.3% 7.6% 9.4% 11.0% 10.8% 9.5% 10.5% 4.2%
Kate Levinson 4.6% 4.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 10.4% 9.6% 13.3% 14.6% 8.1%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 1.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 6.3% 13.1% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.