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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.66vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.69vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65+3.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+3.99vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26+2.10vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75-0.63vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79+1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.86-0.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.15vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.86-6.35vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-6.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-7.19vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.09-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.54North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.1George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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12.93Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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14.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.55Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.4% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Squires | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 23.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Smith | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.