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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+5.69vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.76vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+5.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.99vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79+5.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.46-1.58vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86-1.04vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.26+0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-2.91vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-2.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.11vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.36vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-6.40vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-4.34vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.09-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.76Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.42Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.77Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.21George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.6North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.5% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 23.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
| Emily Smith | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.