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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+6.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.30vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.72+6.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+2.57vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.48+5.69vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+2.41vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+0.55vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.04-3.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.37vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.84-4.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-2.93vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-5.41vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-5.08vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.83-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21College of Charleston2.3813.5%1st Place
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8.02Yale University1.595.5%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.229.8%1st Place
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10.89SUNY Maritime College0.723.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.3%1st Place
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11.69Maine Maritime Academy0.482.5%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University0.465.1%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University1.574.9%1st Place
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9.55Boston University0.973.7%1st Place
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6.41Tulane University2.049.2%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University1.846.6%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.5%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.426.3%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University1.838.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| Zachary York | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 25.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.