Race 23B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kelsey Wheeler 11.4% 12.6% 11.2% 11.5% 11.6% 8.8% 10.2% 8.6% 5.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Devon Rohde 4.4% 6.1% 5.4% 8.7% 7.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 11.3% 13.5% 12.2% 5.5%
Paige Fagan 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 12.9% 61.8%
Marlena Fauer 21.2% 19.6% 15.8% 12.4% 8.9% 7.7% 6.1% 4.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Rachel Perry 3.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.4% 8.2% 7.7% 9.5% 12.1% 18.6% 10.9%
Caitlin Watson 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.2% 9.6% 8.8% 10.0% 11.3% 11.1% 10.0% 4.5%
Sky Adams 9.4% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 8.6% 7.6% 5.5% 2.1%
Laura Dunphy 9.2% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 10.7% 8.8% 9.2% 7.3% 2.9%
Kimberly Kaull 9.6% 10.9% 10.2% 11.2% 11.1% 8.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.2%
Carolyn Naughton 10.1% 9.5% 11.9% 8.9% 10.6% 10.4% 10.0% 9.2% 7.9% 6.1% 4.3% 1.1%
Kate Levinson 5.1% 3.6% 6.3% 6.6% 5.7% 7.7% 9.2% 9.1% 11.2% 14.2% 14.8% 6.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 8.9% 9.4% 11.6% 7.7% 7.2% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.