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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.81vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+3.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+3.98vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.40vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+0.48vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.86-2.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.10vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-5.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.05vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-2.33vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-3.42vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.75-7.81vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.41-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.79Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.4Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.48North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.31George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.67Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.3% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Grace Squires | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.