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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.38vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.45vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79+6.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.62vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+2.02vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.41+4.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-2.54vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-6.48vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-5.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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3.62Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.45North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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11.02Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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15.98University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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9.52Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.14George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.5% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 9.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 53.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.