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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+2.37vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+5.90vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+3.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+1.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86-1.04vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75-1.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.06vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-1.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.58vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.41-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.76Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.52Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.38North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.88Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.3% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Allen | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 23.0% | 21.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 9.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.